Odds
Player analysis
A. De Minaur has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.2 to 18.8, with at least one match where A. De Minaur was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. De Minaur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
F. Misolic comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.4, meaning F. Misolic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving F. Misolic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — F. Misolic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 9 Mar | Norrie | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 8 Mar | Korda | 6-4 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 24 Feb | Kypson | 6-1 6-7 7-6 | L |
| 15 Feb | Auger-Aliassime | 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 14 Feb | Humbert | 6-4 6-3 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 27 Jan | Giustino | 6-7 6-7 | L |
| 19 Jan | Fokina | 2-6 3-6 3-6 | L |
| 12 Jan | Shevchenko | 5-7 3-6 | L |
| 11 Jan | Jovanovski | 7-5 6-4 | W |
| 3 Jan | Hijikata | 6-3 6-3 | L |

