MadridClay1/16-finals29 Apr 2025 · 12:10
A. De Minaur
#6 · Australia
VS
D. Shapovalov
#38 · Canada
MINAUR
1.24
·
SHAPOVALOV
4.4

Odds

Market
Minaur
Shapovalov
Winner
1.24
4.4

Player analysis

A. De Minaur comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.6, meaning A. De Minaur has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. De Minaur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. De Minaur has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS -2.61Trend mixed

D. Shapovalov comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.0, meaning D. Shapovalov has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Shapovalov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Shapovalov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -21 over recent matches.

DS -6.02Trend up

Recent form

Clay court stats

Minaur
Stat
Shapovalov
54.2%
Win rate
55%
65–55
W–L
61–50

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces5
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces5
Double faults5

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

30
Clay 10
Indoor 10
Hard 10
A. De Minaur vs D. Shapovalov head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MadridClay1/16-finalsMinaur6-3 7-6
StockholmIndoorQuarter-finalsMinaur6-2 7-6
MontrealHard1/32-finalsMinaur5-7 6-7