Odds
Player analysis
V. Royer comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.0 with a downward trend. V. Royer is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving V. Royer vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.
C. Moutet has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -22.3 to 26.2, with at least one match where C. Moutet was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving C. Moutet vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 7 Apr | Nardi | 6-7 5-7 | W |
| 3 Apr | Martinez | 7-6 4-6 3-6 | L |
| 1 Apr | Butvilas | 6-3 7-5 | W |
| 20 Mar | Tirante | 5-7 7-6 6-7 | L |
| 13 Mar | Navone | 6-2 7-6 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 7 Apr | Muller | 6-4 6-1 | W |
| 3 Apr | Trungelliti | 6-4 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 1 Apr | Baadi | 6-0 6-2 | W |
| 24 Mar | Sinner | 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 21 Mar | Machac | 6-0 1-6 6-4 | W |

