Odds
Player analysis
M. Vondrousova has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.7 to 12.3, with at least one match where M. Vondrousova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving M. Vondrousova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
K. Muchova comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 28 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -22.5 to 14.5, with at least one match where K. Muchova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving K. Muchova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 13 Jan | Samsonova | 1-6 6-4 2-6 | W |
| 5 Jan | Frech | 5-7 7-6 6-7 | L |
| 14 Oct | Muchova | 4-6 3-6 | L |
| 1 Sep | Rybakina | 4-6 7-5 2-6 | W |
| 29 Aug | Paolini | 7-6 6-1 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 19 Apr | Rybakina | 7-5 6-1 | L |
| 18 Apr | Svitolina | 4-6 6-2 4-6 | W |
| 17 Apr | Gauff | 6-3 5-7 6-3 | W |
| 16 Apr | Mertens | 1-6 6-3 6-0 | W |
| 14 Apr | Sasnovich | 6-2 6-4 | W |

