US OpenHard1/16-finals29 Aug 2025 · 19:40
M. Vondrousova
#43 · Czech Republic
VS
J. Paolini
#7 · Italy
VONDROUSOVA
1.99
·
PAOLINI
1.92

Odds

Market
Vondrousova
Paolini
Winner
1.99
1.92

Player analysis

M. Vondrousova has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.7 to 12.3, with at least one match where M. Vondrousova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving M. Vondrousova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 2.46Trend up

J. Paolini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.7 to 8.0, with at least one match where J. Paolini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving J. Paolini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.24Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartWLLWW

3W 2L last 5

13 JanSamsonova1-6 6-4 2-6W
5 JanFrech5-7 7-6 6-7L
14 OctMuchova4-6 3-6L
1 SepRybakina4-6 7-5 2-6W
29 AugPaolini7-6 6-1W
Recent form bar chartLWWLW

3W 2L last 5

10 MarGibson7-5 2-6 6-1L
8 MarTomljanovic5-7 7-5 1-6W
6 MarPotapova7-6 2-6 3-6W
1 MarBucsa5-7 4-6L
28 FebBoulter0-6 6-3 6-3W

Hard court stats

Vondrousova
Stat
Paolini
63.6%
Win rate
54.2%
124–71
W–L
147–124

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces8
Double faults6
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults2