Odds
Player analysis
L. Musetti has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -17.1 to 17.6, with at least one match where L. Musetti was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving L. Musetti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
A. Shevchenko has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.8, meaning A. Shevchenko has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Shevchenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +21 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 6 Mar | Fucsovics | 5-7 1-6 | L |
| 26 Jan | Fritz | 6-2 7-5 6-4 | W |
| 24 Jan | Machac | 5-7 6-4 6-2 5-7 6-2 | W |
| 22 Jan | Sonego | 6-3 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 11 Jan | Bublik | 6-7 3-6 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 5 Apr | Bautista-Agut | 7-6 7-6 | W |
| 1 Apr | Zandschulp | 5-7 1-6 | L |
| 31 Mar | Turcanu | 6-2 6-4 | W |
| 23 Mar | Humbert | 4-6 6-7 | L |
| 22 Mar | Shelton | 7-6 6-7 3-6 | W |

