TorontoHard1/16-finals2 Aug 2025 · 02:45
B. Nakashima
#32 · USA
VS
B. Shelton
#6 · USA
NAKASHIMA
3.22
·
SHELTON
1.4

Odds

Market
Nakashima
Shelton
Winner
3.22
1.4
Total
line 18.5
1.1
Over 18.5
5.1
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.0
1.12
Over 19.0
4.8
Under 19.0
Handicap
games
2.39
-2.0 games
1.63
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.12
-2.5 games
1.79
+2.5 games

Player analysis

B. Nakashima comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.3 to 15.2, with at least one match where B. Nakashima was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving B. Nakashima vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Nakashima has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.

DS 0.92Trend mixed

B. Shelton shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 61. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.9/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 6.02Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Nakashima
Stat
Shelton
63.1%
Win rate
64.9%
197–115
W–L
150–81

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved30%
Aces5
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP saved80%
Aces6
Double faults2
BP converted30%

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

05
Hard 04
Clay 01
B. Nakashima vs B. Shelton head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
TorontoHard1/16-finalsShelton7-6 2-6 6-7
ATP Indian WellsHardIndian Wells - 1/8-finalsShelton6-7 1-6
Australian OpenHard1/64-finalsShelton7-6 7-5 7-5
ATP WashingtonHard1/8-finalsShelton6-7 6-7
ATP HoustonClayQuarter-finalsShelton7-5 7-6