Odds
Player analysis
B. Nakashima comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.3 to 15.2, with at least one match where B. Nakashima was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving B. Nakashima vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Nakashima has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.
E. Ymer has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.7, meaning E. Ymer has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving E. Ymer vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 25 Apr | Blockx | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 16 Apr | Fils | 6-2 6-3 | L |
| 14 Apr | Cerundolo | 6-3 7-5 | W |
| 2 Apr | Burruchaga | 6-4 2-6 6-4 | L |
| 31 Mar | Damm | 6-7 2-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 2 Mar | Wong | 6-3 3-6 7-6 | W |
| 24 Feb | Nakashima | 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 23 Feb | Mejia | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 22 Feb | McDonald | 6-7 6-4 4-6 | W |
| 15 Feb | Herbert | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | L |

