AcapulcoHard1/16-finals24 Feb 2026 · 02:30
B. Nakashima
#32 · USA
VS
E. Ymer
#175 · Sweden
NAKASHIMA
1.16
·
YMER
6.05

Odds

Market
Nakashima
Ymer
Winner
1.16
6.05

Player analysis

B. Nakashima comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.3 to 15.2, with at least one match where B. Nakashima was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving B. Nakashima vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Nakashima has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.

DS 0.92Trend mixed

E. Ymer has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.7, meaning E. Ymer has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving E. Ymer vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -1.68Trend down

Recent form

Hard court stats

Nakashima
Stat
Ymer
63.1%
Win rate
47.9%
197–115
W–L
156–170

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved30%
Aces5
Double faults1
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces8
Double faults2