ATP Indian WellsHard1/16-finals8 Mar 2026 · 19:10
B. Nakashima
#32 · USA
VS
A. Zverev
#3 · Germany
NAKASHIMA
4.17
·
ZVEREV
1.27

Odds

Market
Nakashima
Zverev
Winner
4.17
1.27

Player analysis

B. Nakashima comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.3 to 15.2, with at least one match where B. Nakashima was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving B. Nakashima vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Nakashima has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.

DS 0.92Trend mixed

A. Zverev shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 35. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.9 to 26.9, with at least one match where A. Zverev was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Zverev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -19 over recent matches.

DS 9.89Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Nakashima
Stat
Zverev
63.1%
Win rate
66.9%
197–115
W–L
341–169

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved30%
Aces5
Double faults1
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved30%
Aces5
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

05
Hard 03
Clay 02
B. Nakashima vs A. Zverev head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
ATP Indian WellsHardIndian Wells - 1/16-finalsZverev6-7 7-5 4-6
CincinnatiHard1/16-finalsZverev4-6 4-6
StuttgartClayQuarter-finalsZverev7-5 6-4
ATP US OpenHard1/8-finalsZverev6-3 1-6 2-6 2-6
French OpenClay1/16-finalsZverev7-6 6-3 7-6