Mexico CityClaySemi-finals11 Apr 2026 · 22:40
L. Pavlovic
#200 · France
VS
S. Napolitano
#302 · Italy
PAVLOVIC
2.2
·
NAPOLITANO
1.826

Odds

Market
Pavlovic
Napolitano
Winner
2.2
1.826
Total
line 22.5
1.8
Over 22.5
1.91
Under 22.5
Total
line 23.5
2.14
Over 23.5
1.74
Under 23.5
Handicap
games
1.806
+2.0 games
2.07
-2 games
Handicap
games
1.66
+2.5 games
2.06
-2.5 games

Player analysis

L. Pavlovic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.8, meaning L. Pavlovic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving L. Pavlovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -3.76Trend down

S. Napolitano shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 235. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -23.3 to 13.8, with at least one match where S. Napolitano was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving S. Napolitano vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Napolitano has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -24 over recent matches.

DS 4.34Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Pavlovic
Stat
Napolitano
64.6%
Win rate
53.4%
124–68
W–L
151–132

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %50%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces12
Double faults7
1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved40%
Aces4
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

11
Clay 11
L. Pavlovic vs S. Napolitano head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
KigaliClayQuarter-finalsNapolitano4-6 3-6
Mexico CityClay1/16-finalsPavlovic7-6 7-6