Odds
Player analysis
S. Ofner shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 237. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving S. Ofner vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.
L. Nardi comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.7, meaning L. Nardi has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving L. Nardi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 11 Apr | Quilez | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 28 Mar | Carreno-Busta | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 27 Mar | Cecchinato | 7-6 7-5 | W |
| 25 Mar | Canas | 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 23 Mar | Skatov | 6-3 6-4 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 7 Apr | Royer | 6-7 5-7 | L |
| 3 Mar | Svajda | 6-4 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 24 Feb | Lehecka | 6-4 4-6 2-6 | L |
| 22 Feb | Carreno-Busta | 6-7 6-4 7-6 | L |
| 21 Feb | Trungelliti | 6-2 2-6 6-7 | W |

