A. Paulson has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.9 to 21.1, with at least one match where A. Paulson was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving A. Paulson vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

M. Vrbensky comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.5, meaning M. Vrbensky has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving M. Vrbensky vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Vrbensky has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.