Odds
Player analysis
A. Rublev comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.9, meaning A. Rublev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving A. Rublev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Rublev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -32 over recent matches.
Y. Nishioka comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.3, meaning Y. Nishioka has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving Y. Nishioka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — Y. Nishioka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 8 Apr | Bergs | 4-6 1-6 | L |
| 6 Apr | Borges | 6-4 1-6 6-1 | W |
| 21 Mar | Tabilo | 7-6 2-6 4-6 | L |
| 7 Mar | Diallo | 7-6 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 27 Feb | Griekspoor | 5-7 6-7 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 14 Feb | Wong | 2-6 2-6 | L |
| 7 Feb | Rodionov | 7-5 1-6 0-6 | L |
| 12 Jan | Fatic | 6-1 6-2 | W |
| 5 Jan | Jacquet | 2-6 6-1 7-5 | L |
| 11 Nov | Jung | 6-1 3-6 4-6 | W |

