ShanghaiHard1/32-finals4 Oct 2025 · 06:45
A. Rublev
#15 · Russia
VS
Y. Nishioka
#171 · Japan

Odds

Market
Rublev
Nishioka
Winner

Player analysis

A. Rublev comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.9, meaning A. Rublev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving A. Rublev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Rublev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -32 over recent matches.

DS -3.9Trend up

Y. Nishioka comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.3, meaning Y. Nishioka has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving Y. Nishioka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — Y. Nishioka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.

DS -5.31Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Rublev
Stat
Nishioka
62.8%
Win rate
61.2%
311–184
W–L
309–196

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved40%
Aces9
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults2