K. Novak has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.8 to 20.4, with at least one match where K. Novak was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 4.6/10, leaving K. Novak vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

S. Vickery comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.2, meaning S. Vickery has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving S. Vickery vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Vickery has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -37 over recent matches.