N. Osaka has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.9 to 14.5, with at least one match where N. Osaka was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving N. Osaka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

L. Samsonova comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.5, meaning L. Samsonova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving L. Samsonova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.