MiamiHard1/32-finals21 Mar 2025 · 01:00
N. Osaka
#15 · Japan
VS

Odds

Market
Osaka
Samsonova
Winner

Player analysis

N. Osaka shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 47. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.5. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving N. Osaka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 5.52Trend down

L. Samsonova comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.9 to 26.9, with at least one match where L. Samsonova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving L. Samsonova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.32Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWWW

4W 1L last 5

10 MarSabalenka6-2 6-4L
8 MarOsorio1-6 6-3 1-6W
7 MarKasintseva5-7 2-6W
22 JanCirstea6-3 4-6 6-2W
20 JanRuzic6-3 3-6 6-4W
Recent form bar chartLLLLW

1W 4L last 5

7 MarKrueger6-3 5-7 2-6L
15 FebFernandez7-5 5-7 3-6L
8 FebFrech3-6 6-4 6-7L
5 FebBaptiste2-6 6-4 4-6L
3 FebTjen6-2 6-2W

Hard court stats

Osaka
Stat
Samsonova
66.6%
Win rate
40%
219–110
W–L
10–15

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults4

Head to head

21
Hard 20
Clay 01
N. Osaka vs L. Samsonova head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MontrealHard1/32-finalsOsaka6-4 6-7 3-6
BerlinClay1/16-finalsSamsonova6-3 6-7 4-6
MiamiHard1/32-finalsOsaka6-2 6-4