Odds
Market
Osaka
Samsonova
Winner
—
—
Player analysis
N. Osaka shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 47. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.5. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving N. Osaka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
DS 5.52Trend down
L. Samsonova comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.9 to 26.9, with at least one match where L. Samsonova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving L. Samsonova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
DS 1.32Trend mixed
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 10 Mar | Sabalenka | 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 8 Mar | Osorio | 1-6 6-3 1-6 | W |
| 7 Mar | Kasintseva | 5-7 2-6 | W |
| 22 Jan | Cirstea | 6-3 4-6 6-2 | W |
| 20 Jan | Ruzic | 6-3 3-6 6-4 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 7 Mar | Krueger | 6-3 5-7 2-6 | L |
| 15 Feb | Fernandez | 7-5 5-7 3-6 | L |
| 8 Feb | Frech | 3-6 6-4 6-7 | L |
| 5 Feb | Baptiste | 2-6 6-4 4-6 | L |
| 3 Feb | Tjen | 6-2 6-2 | W |
Clay court stats
OsakaStatSamsonova
57.3%Win rate64.7%
47–35W–L11–6
Avg stats — last 5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults4
Head to head
2–1
Hard 2–0
Clay 0–1
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montreal | Hard | 1/32-finals | Osaka | 6-4 6-7 3-6 | |
| Berlin | Clay | 1/16-finals | Samsonova | 6-3 6-7 4-6 | |
| Miami | Hard | 1/32-finals | Osaka | 6-2 6-4 |

