RomeClay1/8-finals11 May 2026 · 18:00
N. Osaka
#16 · Japan
VS
I. Swiatek
#3 · Poland

Odds

Market
Osaka
Swiatek
Change
Winner
Total
line 16.5
1.15
Over 16.5
4.25
Under 16.5
Total
line 17.0
1.18
Over 17.0
3.9
Under 17.0
Handicap
games
3.1
-2.0 games
1.33
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.69
-3.0 games
1.42
+3 games

Player analysis

N. Osaka shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 55. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.7 to 37.5, with at least one match where N. Osaka was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving N. Osaka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.

DS 11.77Trend mixed

I. Swiatek shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 50. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving I. Swiatek vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.

DS 18.34Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Osaka
Stat
Swiatek
57.3%
Win rate
86.2%
47–35
W–L
131–21

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted70%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

12
Clay 01
Hard 11
N. Osaka vs I. Swiatek head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA French OpenClay1/32-finalsSwiatek7-6 1-6 7-5
MiamiHardFinalSwiatek4-6
TorontoHard1/8-finalsOsaka6-7 4-6