MadridClay27 Apr 2026 · 11:00
A. Sabalenka
#1 · Belarus
VS
N. Osaka
#15 · Japan
SABALENKA
1.17
·
OSAKA
5.74

Odds

Market
Sabalenka
Osaka
Change
Winner
1.17
5.74
Total
line 15.5
1.08
Over 15.5
5.45
Under 15.5
Total
line 16.0
1.1
Over 16.0
5.05
Under 16.0
Handicap
games
10.7
-9.5 games
1.02
+9.5 games
Handicap
games
10.2
-9.0 games
1.02
+9 games

Player analysis

A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-20 opposition. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 10.93Trend mixed

N. Osaka has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.9 to 14.8, with at least one match where N. Osaka was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving N. Osaka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 3.87Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Sabalenka
Stat
Osaka
69.5%
Win rate
57.3%
91–40
W–L
47–35

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults2