Odds
Player analysis
C. Osorio comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.2 to 19.7, with at least one match where C. Osorio was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving C. Osorio vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +15 over the last five.
J. Ostapenko has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.4, meaning J. Ostapenko has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving J. Ostapenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 2 Apr | Ortenzi | 6-7 6-7 | L |
| 31 Mar | Dolehide | 6-7 6-2 6-1 | W |
| 20 Mar | Muchova | 4-6 6-2 7-5 | L |
| 18 Mar | Siniakova | 1-6 4-6 | W |
| 8 Mar | Osaka | 1-6 6-3 1-6 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 23 Mar | Baptiste | 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 22 Mar | Paolini | 5-7 6-2 7-5 | W |
| 20 Mar | Yastremska | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 9 Mar | Pegula | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 7 Mar | Volynets | 4-6 6-7 | W |

