Odds
Player analysis
J. Ostapenko comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.2, meaning J. Ostapenko has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving J. Ostapenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.
L. Siegemund comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.1, meaning L. Siegemund has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving L. Siegemund vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Siegemund has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -24 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 9 Mar | Pegula | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 7 Mar | Volynets | 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 16 Feb | Kalinskaya | 6-2 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 13 Feb | Mboko | 3-6 2-6 | L |
| 12 Feb | Cocciaretto | 7-5 6-4 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 8 Mar | Svitolina | 6-7 6-4 3-6 | L |
| 5 Mar | Marcinko | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 16 Feb | Kasatkina | 2-6 3-6 | L |
| 8 Feb | Gracheva | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 22 Jan | Inglis | 6-4 6-7 7-6 | L |

