J. Pegula arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-40 opposition. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

K. Siniakova has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.4, meaning K. Siniakova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving K. Siniakova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — K. Siniakova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.