Odds
Player analysis
J. Pegula arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-40 opposition. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
I. Swiatek has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.8 to 29.8, with at least one match where I. Swiatek was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving I. Swiatek vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+31) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 19 Mar | Linette | 1-6 7-5 6-3 | L |
| 12 Mar | Svitolina | 6-2 4-6 6-4 | L |
| 11 Mar | Muchova | 2-6 0-6 | W |
| 10 Mar | Sakkari | 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 7 Mar | Day | 0-6 6-7 | W |
0W 5L last 5
| 5 Apr | Pegula | 6-2 6-2 | L |
| 4 Apr | Pegula | 6-4 5-7 6-3 | L |
| 3 Apr | Pegula | 3-6 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 2 Apr | Pegula | 1-6 6-1 7-6 | L |
| 1 Apr | Pegula | 4-6 6-4 7-5 | L |
Grass court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bad Homburg | Grass | Final | Pegula | 6-4 7-5 | |
| WTA US Open | Hard | Quarter-finals | Pegula | 2-6 4-6 | |
| WTA Finals - Cancun | Indoor | Final | Swiatek | 1-6 | |
| WTA Montreal | Hard | Semi-finals | Pegula | 2-6 7-6 4-6 | |
| Doha | Hard | Final | Swiatek | 6-3 | |
| WTA United Cup | Hard | Pegula | 2-6 2-6 | ||
| San Diego | Hard | Semi-finals | Swiatek | 4-6 6-2 6-2 | |
| US Open | Hard | Quarter-finals | Swiatek | 6-3 7-6 | |
| French Open | Clay | Quarter-finals | Swiatek | 6-3 6-2 | |
| Miami | Hard | Semi-finals | Swiatek | 2-6 5-7 |

