Bad HomburgGrassFinal28 Jun 2025 · 13:45
J. Pegula
#5 · USA
VS
I. Swiatek
#4 · Poland
PEGULA
2.97
·
SWIATEK
1.45

Odds

Market
Pegula
Swiatek
Winner
2.97
1.45

Player analysis

J. Pegula arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-40 opposition. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 8.81Trend mixed

I. Swiatek has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.8 to 29.8, with at least one match where I. Swiatek was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving I. Swiatek vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+31) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 12.67Trend down

Recent form

Grass court stats

Pegula
Stat
Swiatek
59.3%
Win rate
77.3%
32–22
W–L
34–10

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted60%
BP saved70%
Aces2
Double faults4

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

46
Grass 10
Hard 34
Indoor 01
Clay 01
J. Pegula vs I. Swiatek head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Bad HomburgGrassFinalPegula6-4 7-5
WTA US OpenHardQuarter-finalsPegula2-6 4-6
WTA Finals - CancunIndoorFinalSwiatek1-6
WTA MontrealHardSemi-finalsPegula2-6 7-6 4-6
DohaHardFinalSwiatek6-3
WTA United CupHardPegula2-6 2-6
San DiegoHardSemi-finalsSwiatek4-6 6-2 6-2
US OpenHardQuarter-finalsSwiatek6-3 7-6
French OpenClayQuarter-finalsSwiatek6-3 6-2
MiamiHardSemi-finalsSwiatek2-6 5-7