Odds
Player analysis
L. Siegemund has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -19.2 to 22.4, with at least one match where L. Siegemund was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving L. Siegemund vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
Ka. Pliskova shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 45. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.4, meaning Ka. Pliskova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving Ka. Pliskova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 8 May | Alexandrova | 4-6 7-6 1-6 | W |
| 6 May | Bejlek | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 23 Apr | Paolini | 6-3 2-6 4-6 | L |
| 21 Apr | Begu | 6-4 6-0 | W |
| 15 Apr | Swiatek | 6-2 6-3 | L |
4W 1L last 5
| 8 May | Cristian | 6-7 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 6 May | Maneiro | 4-6 6-3 7-5 | W |
| 29 Apr | Potapova | 1-6 7-6 3-6 | L |
| 27 Apr | Sierra | 4-6 3-6 | W |
| 26 Apr | Mertens | 5-7 6-2 6-7 | W |

