MadridClay25 Apr 2026 · 11:00
E. Mertens
#21 · Belgium
VS
Ka. Pliskova
#197 · Czech Republic

Odds

Market
Mertens
Pliskova
Change
Winner
Total
line 18.0
1.22
Over 18.0
3.5
Under 18.0
Total
line 19.0
1.39
Over 19.0
2.63
Under 19.0
Handicap
games
6.3
-7.0 games
1.09
+7 games
Handicap
games
3.72
-6.0 games
1.24
+6 games

Player analysis

E. Mertens has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.8 to 30.3, with at least one match where E. Mertens was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving E. Mertens vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.

DS 10.98Trend mixed

Ka. Pliskova shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 66. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving Ka. Pliskova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 5.42Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Mertens
Stat
Pliskova
61.4%
Win rate
58.2%
81–51
W–L
89–64

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces7
Double faults4