RomeClay1/16-finals11 May 2026 · 11:00
J. Sinner
#1 · Italy
VS
A. Popyrin
#60 · Australia

Odds

Market
Sinner
Popyrin
Change
Winner

Player analysis

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-31 opposition. Serve quality has been average (7.1/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Sinner has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

DS 18.46Trend down

A. Popyrin comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.2, meaning A. Popyrin has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving A. Popyrin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -0.17Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Sinner
Stat
Popyrin
71.8%
Win rate
56.5%
89–35
W–L
74–57

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
Aces6
Double faults1
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved80%
Aces8
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

20
Hard 20
J. Sinner vs A. Popyrin head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
DohaHard1/8-finalsSinner3-6 5-7
US OpenHard1/32-finalsSinner6-3 6-2 6-2