MadridClay1/8-finals27 Apr 2026 · 22:10
A. Potapova
#56 · Austria
VS
E. Rybakina
#2 · Kazakhstan
POTAPOVA
6.59
·
RYBAKINA
1.14

Odds

Market
Potapova
Rybakina
Winner
6.59
1.14
Total
line 14.5
1.01
Over 14.5
8.3
Under 14.5
Total
line 15.0
1.02
Over 15.0
7.8
Under 15.0
Handicap
games
4.55
-2.0 games
1.17
+2 games
Handicap
games
3.8
-2.5 games
1.23
+2.5 games

Player analysis

A. Potapova shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 81. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.7 to 25.5, with at least one match where A. Potapova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Potapova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 8.52Trend mixed

E. Rybakina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 36. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Rybakina has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

DS 7.68Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Potapova
Stat
Rybakina
62.6%
Win rate
69.4%
67–40
W–L
75–33

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted60%
BP saved40%
Aces6
Double faults6
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces5
Double faults2