Odds
Player analysis
H. Rocha comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.1 to 22.7, with at least one match where H. Rocha was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving H. Rocha vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.
S. Shimabukuro comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.0, meaning S. Shimabukuro has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving S. Shimabukuro vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Shimabukuro has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -26 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 31 Mar | Trungelliti | 6-7 2-6 | L |
| 30 Mar | Kjaer | 6-1 6-2 | W |
| 29 Mar | Sanchis | 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 18 Mar | Pino | 7-5 7-5 | L |
| 15 Mar | Olivieri | 6-4 6-4 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 24 Mar | Honda | 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 17 Mar | Basilashvili | 6-2 6-1 | L |
| 16 Mar | Bolt | 2-6 7-6 3-6 | W |
| 5 Mar | Shevchenko | 6-4 3-6 6-2 | L |
| 3 Mar | Landaluce | 2-6 7-6 5-7 | W |

