MatsuyamaHardFinal9 Nov 2025 · 05:10
H. Rocha
#129 · Portugal
VS
S. Shimabukuro
#112 · Japan

Odds

Market
Rocha
Shimabukuro
Winner

Player analysis

H. Rocha comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.1 to 22.7, with at least one match where H. Rocha was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving H. Rocha vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.

DS 4.1Trend mixed

S. Shimabukuro comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.0, meaning S. Shimabukuro has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving S. Shimabukuro vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Shimabukuro has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -26 over recent matches.

DS -8.04Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Rocha
Stat
Shimabukuro
63.8%
Win rate
58.8%
81–46
W–L
163–114

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces2
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults4