F. Roncadelli has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.2 to 31.8, with at least one match where F. Roncadelli was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving F. Roncadelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

N. Alvarez Varona comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.1, meaning N. Alvarez Varona has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving N. Alvarez Varona vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.