A. Rublev comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -2.1 to 17.1, with at least one match where A. Rublev was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Rublev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Rublev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.

V. Royer comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.0 with a downward trend. V. Royer is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving V. Royer vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.