CincinnatiHard1/32-finals10 Aug 2025 · 19:10
L. Tien
#22 · USA
VS
A. Rublev
#15 · Russia
TIEN
2.79
·
RUBLEV
1.5

Odds

Market
Tien
Rublev
Winner
2.79
1.5

Player analysis

L. Tien comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.1, meaning L. Tien has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving L. Tien vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -6.07Trend mixed

A. Rublev comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -2.1 to 17.1, with at least one match where A. Rublev was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Rublev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Rublev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -25 over recent matches.

DS 2.34Trend up

Recent form

Hard court stats

Tien
Stat
Rublev
67.1%
Win rate
62.8%
194–95
W–L
311–184

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces6
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces10
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

12
Indoor 01
Hard 11
L. Tien vs A. Rublev head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
ParisIndoor1/16-finalsRublev4-6 4-6
CincinnatiHard1/32-finalsRublev6-7 3-6
WashingtonHard1/16-finalsTien7-5 6-2