L. Tien has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.3, meaning L. Tien has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving L. Tien vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-22 opposition. Serve quality has been average (6.9/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.