ATP Indian WellsHardIndian Wells - Quarter-finals12 Mar 2026 · 21:25
L. Tien
#21 · USA
VS
J. Sinner
#1 · Italy
TIEN
9.59
·
SINNER
1.09

Odds

Market
Tien
Sinner
Winner
9.59
1.09
Total
line 15.5
1.03
Over 15.5
7.6
Under 15.5
Total
line 16.0
1.04
Over 16.0
7.1
Under 16.0
Handicap
games
6.35
-2.0 games
1.09
+2 games
Handicap
games
5.2
-2.5 games
1.13
+2.5 games

Player analysis

L. Tien comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -9.1, meaning L. Tien has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving L. Tien vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Tien has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -32 over recent matches.

DS -9.12Trend down

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-31 opposition. Serve quality has been average (7.0/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

DS 14.89Trend down

Recent form

Hard court stats

Tien
Stat
Sinner
67.1%
Win rate
80.5%
194–95
W–L
248–60

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won70%
BP converted50%
Aces4
Double faults2
BP saved70%