Odds
Player analysis
L. Tien comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -9.1, meaning L. Tien has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving L. Tien vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Tien has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -32 over recent matches.
J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-31 opposition. Serve quality has been average (7.0/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 25 Apr | Vallejo | 4-6 3-6 | L |
| 3 Apr | Burruchaga | 5-7 4-6 | L |
| 2 Apr | Basavareddy | 6-3 3-6 6-1 | W |
| 21 Mar | Majchrzak | 6-2 4-6 6-2 | L |
| 12 Mar | Sinner | 1-6 2-6 | L |
5W 0L last 5
| 24 Apr | Bonzi | 6-7 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 12 Apr | Alcaraz | 6-7 3-6 | W |
| 11 Apr | Zverev | 1-6 4-6 | W |
| 10 Apr | Auger-Aliassime | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 9 Apr | Machac | 1-6 7-6 3-6 | W |

