S. Tsitsipas comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.0, meaning S. Tsitsipas has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving S. Tsitsipas vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Tsitsipas has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -51 over recent matches.

A. Rublev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.8. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.