Odds
Player analysis
S. Tsitsipas has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.7 with a downward trend. S. Tsitsipas is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.
A. Rublev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.0 to 11.3, with at least one match where A. Rublev was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Rublev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 6 Apr | Cerundolo | 7-5 6-4 | L |
| 23 Mar | Fils | 6-0 6-1 | L |
| 21 Mar | Minaur | 6-3 7-6 | W |
| 19 Mar | Fery | 6-1 7-6 | W |
| 5 Mar | Shapovalov | 2-6 6-3 4-6 | L |
1W 4L last 5
| 8 Apr | Bergs | 4-6 1-6 | L |
| 6 Apr | Borges | 6-4 1-6 6-1 | W |
| 21 Mar | Tabilo | 7-6 2-6 4-6 | L |
| 7 Mar | Diallo | 7-6 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 27 Feb | Griekspoor | 5-7 6-7 | L |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doha | Hard | Quarter-finals | Rublev | 3-6 6-7 | |
| Finals - Turin | Indoor | Rublev | 6-3 3-6 2-6 | ||
| Astana | Indoor | Semi-finals | Tsitsipas | 6-4 4-6 3-6 | |
| Madrid | Clay | Quarter-finals | Tsitsipas | 3-6 6-2 4-6 | |
| Finals - Turin | Indoor | Rublev | 4-6 4-6 | ||
| Rotterdam | Indoor | ATP Semi-finals | Rublev | 6-3 7-6 |

