Hong KongHard1/8-finals7 Jan 2026 · 12:30
A. Rublev
#15 · Russia
VS
Y. Wu
#115 · China
RUBLEV
1.51
·
WU
2.6

Odds

Market
Rublev
Wu
Winner
1.51
2.6

Player analysis

A. Rublev comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.9, meaning A. Rublev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving A. Rublev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Rublev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -32 over recent matches.

DS -3.9Trend up

Y. Wu has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.1 to 23.6, with at least one match where Y. Wu was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving Y. Wu vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — Y. Wu has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -36 over recent matches.

DS 3.42Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Rublev
Stat
Wu
62.8%
Win rate
66.3%
311–184
W–L
108–55

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved40%
Aces9
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved30%
Aces4
Double faults2