Odds
Player analysis
F. Tiafoe has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.1, meaning F. Tiafoe has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving F. Tiafoe vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.
H. Rune shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 40. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 4 Apr | Popyrin | 6-3 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 4 Apr | Paul | 7-5 4-6 7-6 | L |
| 3 Apr | Hijikata | 4-6 6-3 2-6 | W |
| 26 Mar | Sinner | 2-6 2-6 | L |
| 24 Mar | Atmane | 4-6 6-1 4-6 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 17 Oct | Etcheverry | 6-7 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 16 Oct | Fucsovics | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 9 Oct | Vacherot | 6-2 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 7 Oct | Perricard | 4-6 7-6 3-6 | W |
| 5 Oct | Humbert | 4-6 4-6 | W |

