WTA Australian OpenHardQuarter-finals28 Jan 2026 · 01:45
E. Rybakina
#2 · Kazakhstan
VS
I. Swiatek
#3 · Poland
RYBAKINA
1.76
·
SWIATEK
2.2

Odds

Market
Rybakina
Swiatek
Winner
1.76
2.2
Total
line 18.5
1.21
Over 18.5
3.66
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.0
1.25
Over 19.0
3.42
Under 19.0
Handicap
games
4.75
-5.5 games
1.18
+5.5 games
Handicap
games
4.3
-5.0 games
1.21
+5 games

Player analysis

E. Rybakina comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 17 on average. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.

DS 5.08Trend mixed

I. Swiatek has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.8 to 29.8, with at least one match where I. Swiatek was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving I. Swiatek vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.

DS 12.06Trend down

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWWW

4W 1L last 5

15 MarSabalenka3-6 6-3 7-6L
14 MarSvitolina7-5 6-4W
13 MarPegula1-6 6-7W
10 MarKostyuk4-6 4-6W
7 MarBaptiste6-7 6-2 2-6W
Recent form bar chartLWWWL

3W 2L last 5

12 MarSvitolina6-2 4-6 6-4L
11 MarMuchova2-6 0-6W
10 MarSakkari3-6 2-6W
7 MarDay0-6 6-7W
12 FebSakkari6-2 4-6 5-7L

Hard court stats

Rybakina
Stat
Swiatek
68.8%
Win rate
77.1%
207–94
W–L
212–63

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved70%
Aces6
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved70%
Aces3
Double faults4

Head to head

35
Hard 14
Indoor 10
Clay 11
E. Rybakina vs I. Swiatek head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA Australian OpenHardQuarter-finalsRybakina7-5 6-1
Finals - RiyadhIndoorRybakina6-3 1-6 0-6
CincinnatiHardSemi-finalsSwiatek5-7 3-6
French OpenClay1/8-finalsSwiatek6-1 3-6 5-7
DohaHardQuarter-finalsSwiatek2-6 5-7
United CupHardSwiatek6-7 4-6
WTA StuttgartClaySemi-finalsRybakina3-6 6-4 3-6
WTA DohaHardFinalSwiatek7-6 6-2