Odds
Player analysis
Q. Zheng has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.9 to 16.8, with at least one match where Q. Zheng was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving Q. Zheng vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
E. Rybakina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 36. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Rybakina has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 26 Apr | Rybakina | 6-4 4-6 3-6 | L |
| 24 Apr | Kenin | 1-6 6-3 6-3 | W |
| 23 Mar | Sabalenka | 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 22 Mar | Keys | 4-6 6-2 6-4 | W |
| 21 Mar | Stephens | 6-3 6-2 | W |
5W 0L last 5
| 26 Apr | Zheng | 6-4 4-6 3-6 | W |
| 24 Apr | Ruse | 6-4 3-6 5-7 | W |
| 19 Apr | Muchova | 7-5 6-1 | W |
| 18 Apr | Andreeva | 7-5 6-1 | W |
| 17 Apr | Fernandez | 6-7 6-4 7-6 | W |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madrid | Clay | WTA 1/16-finals | Rybakina | 6-4 4-6 3-6 | |
| WTA Doha | Hard | 1/8-finals | Rybakina | 6-4 2-6 5-7 | |
| WTA Finals - Riyadh | Indoor | Zheng | 6-7 6-3 1-6 | ||
| WTA Beijing | Hard | 1/32-finals | Rybakina | 1-6 2-6 | |
| Wimbledon | Grass | 1/16-finals | Rybakina | 6-7 5-7 |

