ManilaHard1/16-finals27 Jan 2026 · 12:05
VS
M. Tkacheva
#514 · Russia
SAITO
1.39
·
TKACHEVA
3.11

Odds

Market
Saito
Tkacheva
Winner
1.39
3.11
Total
line 16.5
1.15
Over 16.5
5.22
Under 16.5
Total
line 18.5
1.49
Over 18.5
2.57
Under 18.5
Handicap
games
2.61
-5.5 games
1.47
+5.5 games
Handicap
games
2.41
-5.0 games
1.58
+5 games

Player analysis

S. Saito comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.2, meaning S. Saito has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving S. Saito vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.

DS -8.2Trend mixed

M. Tkacheva comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -12.8, meaning M. Tkacheva has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving M. Tkacheva vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Tkacheva has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -48 over recent matches.

DS -12.82Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLLLW

1W 4L last 5

27 JanTkacheva2-6 2-6L
12 OctMinnen5-7 1-6L
9 SepPaquet4-6 5-7L
3 SepGarland2-6 4-6L
1 SepSerban3-6 7-6 0-6W
Recent form bar chartLLLWL

1W 4L last 5

21 FebBartunkova6-1 6-1L
15 FebXu6-3 3-6 6-3L
28 JanVekic6-1 6-2L
27 JanSaito2-6 2-6W
29 MarHuergo2-6 3-6L

Hard court stats

Saito
Stat
Tkacheva
0%
Win rate
69.8%
0–2
W–L
113–49

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted60%
BP saved60%
Aces1
Double faults9
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved30%
Aces2
Double faults4