ManilaHard1/16-finals27 Jan 2026 · 12:05
S. Saito
Japan
VS
M. Tkacheva
#601 · Russia
SAITO
1.39
·
TKACHEVA
3.11

Odds

Market
Saito
Tkacheva
Winner
1.39
3.11
Total
line 16.5
1.15
Over 16.5
5.22
Under 16.5
Total
line 18.5
1.49
Over 18.5
2.57
Under 18.5
Handicap
games
2.61
-5.5 games
1.47
+5.5 games
Handicap
games
2.41
-5.0 games
1.58
+5 games

Player analysis

S. Saito comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.3 with a downward trend. S. Saito is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving S. Saito vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 0.32Trend down

M. Tkacheva comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -12.8, meaning M. Tkacheva has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving M. Tkacheva vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Tkacheva has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -48 over recent matches.

DS -12.82Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Saito
Stat
Tkacheva
0%
Win rate
69.8%
0–2
W–L
113–49

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %80%
1st serve won50%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces0
Double faults6
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved30%
Aces2
Double faults4