E. Zhu comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.1, meaning E. Zhu has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving E. Zhu vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +15 over the last five.

Y. Shimizu has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -23.5 to 61.9, with at least one match where Y. Shimizu was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving Y. Shimizu vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — Y. Shimizu has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.