ShanghaiHardSemi-finals29 Sep 2025 · 10:05
L. Xiao
#806 · China
VS
E. Spizzirri
#79 · USA

Odds

Market
Xiao
Spizzirri
Winner

Player analysis

L. Xiao comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.4, meaning L. Xiao has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving L. Xiao vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Xiao has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -33 over recent matches.

DS -8.43Trend up

E. Spizzirri has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.8. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Spizzirri has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -29 over recent matches.

DS 6.83Trend up

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLLLW

1W 4L last 5

8 FebTabata6-2 6-4L
1 FebHulme2-6 7-6 6-3L
12 OctWang6-3 6-3L
7 OctBiryukov2-6 4-6L
6 OctJasika2-6 4-6W
Recent form bar chartLWLWW

3W 2L last 5

12 FebJones7-6 4-6 7-6L
11 FebDuckworth2-6 4-6W
24 JanSinner6-4 3-6 4-6 4-6L
22 JanWu6-2 6-4 6-7 4-6 6-3W
20 JanFonseca4-6 6-2 1-6 2-6W

Hard court stats

Xiao
Stat
Spizzirri
46.6%
Win rate
65.4%
61–70
W–L
104–55

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted20%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved40%
Aces10
Double faults2