Porto 2Clay1/16-finals25 Aug 2025 · 16:05
N. Alvarez Varona
#461 · Spain
VS
R. Strombachs
#459 · Latvia

Odds

Market
Varona
Strombachs
Winner

Player analysis

N. Alvarez Varona comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.1, meaning N. Alvarez Varona has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving N. Alvarez Varona vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.

DS -1.07Trend mixed

R. Strombachs comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.3 with a downward trend. R. Strombachs is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving R. Strombachs vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.

DS 0.35Trend down

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWLLW

2W 3L last 5

18 SepBoitan6-7 6-3 6-4L
17 SepRoncadelli4-6 4-6W
1 SepFaria6-3 3-6 4-6L
29 AugBailly2-6 6-3 4-6L
27 AugBarrena4-6 4-6W
Recent form bar chartLLWLL

1W 4L last 5

6 FebHardt7-5 6-7 6-2L
12 JanMoeller7-6 2-6 3-6L
11 JanMatusevich7-6 6-3W
6 JanErhard6-7 6-3 6-7L
6 OctTsitsipas4-6 7-5 6-4L

Clay court stats

Varona
Stat
Strombachs
53.4%
Win rate
40.8%
111–97
W–L
31–45

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults4