C. Tauson has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving C. Tauson vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Tauson has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.

A. Tomljanovic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.6 to 20.4, with at least one match where A. Tomljanovic was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving A. Tomljanovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+26) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.