Q. Vandecasteele shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 517. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.5. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving Q. Vandecasteele vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.

M. Tobon comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.8, meaning M. Tobon has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving M. Tobon vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.