Q. Vandecasteele comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.6 to 21.7, with at least one match where Q. Vandecasteele was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving Q. Vandecasteele vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — Q. Vandecasteele has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

M. Tobon has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.3 to 31.1, with at least one match where M. Tobon was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving M. Tobon vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.