MoreliaHard1/16-finals24 Mar 2026 · 18:10
B. Zhukayev
#340 · Kazakhstan
VS
Q. Vandecasteele
#460 · USA
ZHUKAYEV
1.658
·
VANDECASTEELE
2.32

Odds

Market
Zhukayev
Vandecasteele
Winner
1.658
2.32
Total
line 22.5
1.885
Over 22.5
1.971
Under 22.5
Total
line 23.0
1.99
Over 23.0
1.833
Under 23.0
Handicap
games
2.07
-2.5 games
1.775
+2.5 games
Handicap
games
1.84
-2.0 games
1.84
+2 games

Player analysis

B. Zhukayev comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -9.1, meaning B. Zhukayev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving B. Zhukayev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Zhukayev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -31 over recent matches.

DS -9.14Trend down

Q. Vandecasteele has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.8 to 12.2, with at least one match where Q. Vandecasteele was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving Q. Vandecasteele vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.

DS 2.94Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Zhukayev
Stat
Vandecasteele
54.4%
Win rate
50%
131–110
W–L
64–64

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted10%
BP saved60%
Aces8
Double faults6
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces9
Double faults6