Odds Archive
Pinnacle line movement — Sunday, March 15, 2026
20 matches · ATP 1 · WTA 0 · CH 19
| MATCH | OPEN → CUR | Δ% | |
|---|---|---|---|
B. Braga vs J. Cundom Challenger Men - Singles: Asuncion | 1.03 → 1.02 | -1.4% | ↗ |
V. Braga vs J. Ingildsen Challenger Men - Singles: Asuncion | 1.06 → 1.04 | -1.4% | ↗ |
M. Basic vs N. Oliynykov Challenger Men - Singles: Zadar | 1.02 → 1.01 | -0.5% | ↗ |
S. Pieri vs F. Rakonic Challenger Men - Singles: Zadar | 1.01 → 1.00 | -0.1% | ↗ |
M. Giron vs E. Quinn Challenger Men - Singles: Phoenix | 1.71 → 1.67 | -2.2% | ↗ |
T. Colson vs S. A. Linde Palacios Challenger Men - Singles: Morelos | 1.04 → 1.04 | -0.3% | ↗ |
A. Kalinina vs T. Zidansek Challenger Women - Singles: Antalya 3 | 3.04 → 2.68 | -11.8% | ↗ |
J. S. Osorio vs A. Reymond Challenger Men - Singles: Morelos | 1.27 → 1.34 | +5.2% | ↗ |
T. Yuzuki vs M. Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Men - Singles: Morelos | 1.29 → 1.35 | +4.2% | ↗ |
L. Lokoli vs K. Kajin Challenger Men - Singles: Zadar | 7.85 → 8.53 | +8.7% | ↗ |
A. Baez vs V. Basel Challenger Men - Singles: Asuncion | 1.55 → 1.48 | -4.1% | ↗ |
G. A. Olivieri vs H. Rocha Challenger Men - Singles: Santiago | 3.69 → 3.93 | +6.5% | ↗ |
D. Medvedev vs J. Sinner ATP - Singles: ATP Indian Wells | 4.37 → 4.58 | +4.8% | ↗ |
F. Pieczonka vs M. Janvier Challenger Men - Singles: Murcia | 2.56 → 2.46 | -3.9% | ↗ |
J. S. Gomez vs S. Heredia Challenger Men - Singles: Morelos | 1.76 → 1.81 | +3.1% | ↗ |
A. Juan Mano vs F. Arnaboldi Challenger Men - Singles: Murcia | 1.76 → 1.73 | -2.2% | ↗ |
P. Kotov vs F. Romano Challenger Men - Singles: Cherbourg | 4.50 → 4.38 | -2.7% | ↗ |
B. Jones vs S. Perez Contri Challenger Men - Singles: Zadar | 5.67 → 5.80 | +2.3% | ↗ |
A. Sau Franco vs A. F. Rubio Fierros Challenger Men - Singles: Morelos | 1.09 → 1.09 | +0.2% | ↗ |
G. A. Boitan vs A. Fiorentini Challenger Men - Singles: Zadar | 1.11 → 1.10 | -0.3% | ↗ |
Tennis Odds Movement Report — Sunday, March 15, 2026
The March 15, 2026 Pinnacle odds archive records 38 completed tennis markets on clay and hard. 42% of all lines moved in favour of the favourite (odds shortened), while 45% drifted (odds lengthened). Average absolute line shift for the day was 1.5%. 2 matches exceeded the 5% threshold typically associated with meaningful sharp activity. The top movers are analysed below.
March 15, 2026 Line Movement Leaders — Pinnacle Tennis
Five matches defined the Pinnacle line movement narrative on March 15, 2026. First: A. Kalinina vs T. Zidansek in CH-W Antalya 3, where odds shifted from 1.41 to 1.51 — a +7.2% move (the market moved against the favourite). Second: J. S. Osorio vs A. Reymond in CH-M Morelos, +5.2% (1.27 → 1.34, the underdog attracted late money). Third: T. Yuzuki vs M. Gonzalez Fernandez in CH-M Morelos, +4.2% (1.29 → 1.35, Pinnacle revised probability downward for the favourite).
Positions four and five belong to V. Basel in CH-M Asuncion (-4.1%, 1.55 → 1.48, sharp money entered on the favourite) and S. Heredia in CH-M Morelos (+3.1%, 1.76 → 1.81, the market moved against the favourite). Across all five, the average absolute movement was 4.8% — significantly above the day's overall average of 1.5%. 2 of these five crossed the 5% threshold.
March 15, 2026 Tennis Market Wrap: Open vs Close
Across all 38 markets on March 15, 2026, 16 lines shortened (favourite odds fell) and 17 lines lengthened (favourite odds rose). The market was roughly balanced, with steam and drift nearly even. The average absolute movement was 1.5%, and 5 markets closed at exactly the same price as the open, indicating Pinnacle had high initial confidence in those assessments. Bettors who track line movement as a signal had 2 markets worth monitoring on March 15, 2026.
Frequently Asked Questions — Tennis Odds Line Movement
What does line movement mean in tennis betting?
Line movement refers to a change in the odds offered by a bookmaker between the time a market opens and when it closes just before the match. On this page, OPEN shows the initial Pinnacle price and CUR (or CLOSE on archive pages) shows the final price. The Δ% column shows the percentage change. When odds shorten (Δ% is negative for the favourite), it usually means money has come in on that player. When odds drift (Δ% is positive for the favourite), the market is moving against them.
Why does Pinnacle move its lines?
Pinnacle adjusts its odds for two main reasons: to balance its liability (equalise the money on both sides), and to reflect new information — injuries, sharp bets, or updated statistical models. Because Pinnacle accepts sharp (professional) bettors without banning them, their line movements are considered more meaningful than those of recreational bookmakers. A significant Pinnacle line move is widely regarded as one of the most reliable pre-match signals available to the public.
How is the percentage change calculated on this page?
The Δ% figure is calculated as ((CUR − OPEN) / OPEN) × 100. A positive Δ% means the price went up from the opening — the player's implied probability decreased in Pinnacle's view. A negative Δ% means the price fell — implied probability increased. This is calculated on the raw decimal odds, not converted to any other format. All data is sourced directly from Pinnacle's live and historical odds feed.