Odds Archive
Pinnacle line movement — Monday, March 16, 2026
20 matches · ATP 5 · WTA 2 · CH 13
| MATCH | OPEN → CUR | Δ% | |
|---|---|---|---|
T. Colson vs J. Flores Challenger Men - Singles: Morelos | 1.23 → 1.23 | 0.0% | ↗ |
S. Palosi vs J. Sperle Challenger Men - Singles: Zadar | 1.69 → 1.45 | -14.4% | ↗ |
J. Sels vs K. Jacquet Challenger Men - Singles: Zadar | 1.17 → 1.13 | -3.2% | ↗ |
Z. Piros vs E. Dalla Valle Challenger Men - Singles: Zadar | 1.18 → 1.14 | -3.2% | ↗ |
Q. Vandecasteele vs M. Tobon Challenger Men - Singles: Morelos | 1.53 → 1.77 | +15.7% | ↗ |
J. Pinnington Jones vs C. Wong ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.59 → 1.48 | -7.3% | ↗ |
K. Poling vs T. Yuzuki Challenger Men - Singles: Morelos | 1.52 → 1.69 | +10.6% | ↗ |
B. Andreescu vs S. Lamens WTA - Singles: Miami | 1.47 → 1.60 | +8.6% | ↗ |
O. Crawford vs M. Wiskandt Challenger Men - Singles: Morelos | 1.34 → 1.30 | -3.0% | ↗ |
E. Butvilas vs M. Kukushkin Challenger Men - Singles: Murcia | 1.76 → 1.65 | -6.7% | ↗ |
I. Buse vs M. Echargui ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.39 → 1.35 | -3.3% | ↗ |
P. Kypson vs N. Basilashvili ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.36 → 1.44 | +5.5% | ↗ |
S. Heredia vs A. F. Rubio Fierros Challenger Men - Singles: Morelos | 1.57 → 1.70 | +8.2% | ↗ |
A. Nedic vs E. Ivanisevic Challenger Men - Singles: Zadar | 1.03 → 1.04 | +0.8% | ↗ |
F. A. Gomez vs D. Martin Challenger Men - Singles: Morelos | 1.17 → — | 0.0% | ↗ |
C. Garin vs L. Draxl ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.69 → — | 0.0% | ↗ |
C. Langmo vs O. Krutykh Challenger Men - Singles: Zadar | 2.96 → 3.17 | +7.1% | ↗ |
K. Birrell vs V. Tomova WTA - Singles: Miami | 1.29 → 1.26 | -2.0% | ↗ |
A. Blockx vs C. H. Tseng ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.26 → — | 0.0% | ↗ |
M. Basic vs S. Perez Contri Challenger Men - Singles: Zadar | 1.89 → 2.01 | +6.2% | ↗ |
Tennis Odds Movement Report — Monday, March 16, 2026
59 Pinnacle tennis markets closed on March 16, 2026, spanning 5 tournaments across clay and hard. The odds tracker recorded an average line movement of 3.9% from open to close, with 10 markets showing shifts of 5% or above. Balanced movement was the dominant direction, accounting for 50% of all markets. Detailed match-by-match analysis below.
Top 5 Pinnacle Line Movements on March 16, 2026
Sorted by absolute percentage change, the top five Pinnacle line movers on March 16, 2026 were: Q. Vandecasteele vs M. Tobon (CH-M Morelos, +15.7%, 1.53 → 1.77, the market moved against the favourite); S. Palosi vs J. Sperle (CH-M Zadar, -14.4%, 1.69 → 1.45, professional money entered on the favourite); K. Poling vs T. Yuzuki (CH-M Morelos, +10.6%, 1.52 → 1.69, Pinnacle revised probability downward for the favourite); B. Andreescu vs S. Lamens (WTA Miami, +8.6%, 1.47 → 1.60, odds drifted — money flow favoured the underdog); S. Heredia vs A. F. Rubio Fierros (CH-M Morelos, +8.2%, 1.57 → 1.70, the market moved against the favourite).
The top mover, Q. Vandecasteele in CH-M Morelos, showed a +15.7% change — 4.0 times the day's average movement. When a single match moves this far from open, it typically reflects either late player news (such as an injury or withdrawal), significant professional betting activity, or a clear mismatch between public and professional opinion on the match outcome.
March 16, 2026 Odds Movement Summary
The Pinnacle tennis market on this date showed no clear directional bias — favourites shortening and favourites drifting were nearly even. Average movement across all 59 matches was 3.9% — higher than yesterday's 2.4%, with 10 markets exceeding 5%. The WTA Miami had the most matches of the day, averaging 0.7% per match — a notably low figure relative to the day average, likely reflecting early-round matches where Pinnacle's opening lines were already well-calibrated. Zero-movement markets — where Pinnacle held its opening price — numbered 24, representing 41% of the day's activity.
Frequently Asked Questions — Tennis Odds Line Movement
What does line movement mean in tennis betting?
Line movement refers to a change in the odds offered by a bookmaker between the time a market opens and when it closes just before the match. On this page, OPEN shows the initial Pinnacle price and CUR (the current price, shown as CLOSE on archive pages once the match has started) shows the final pre-match price. The Δ% column shows the percentage change. When odds shorten (Δ% is negative for the favourite), it usually means money has come in on that player. When odds drift (Δ% is positive for the favourite), the market is moving against them.
Why does Pinnacle move its lines?
Pinnacle adjusts its odds for two main reasons: to balance its liability (equalise the money on both sides), and to reflect new information — injuries, sharp bets, or updated statistical models. Because Pinnacle accepts sharp (professional) bettors without banning them, their line movements are considered more meaningful than those of recreational bookmakers. A significant Pinnacle line move is widely regarded as one of the most reliable pre-match signals available to the public.
How is the percentage change calculated on this page?
The Δ% figure is calculated as ((CUR − OPEN) / OPEN) × 100. This is always expressed from the favourite's perspective. A positive Δ% means the favourite's odds went up from the opening — their implied probability decreased in Pinnacle's view, indicating the market moved against them. A negative Δ% means the favourite's odds fell — their implied probability increased, indicating money came in on them. This is calculated on the raw decimal odds, not converted to any other format. All data is sourced directly from Pinnacle's live and historical odds feed.