Odds Archive
Pinnacle line movement — Wednesday, March 18, 2026
16 matches · ATP 0 · WTA 1 · CH 15
| MATCH | OPEN → CUR | Δ% | |
|---|---|---|---|
A. Hayen vs A. Martin Challenger Men - Singles: Morelos | 1.10 → 1.15 | +4.1% | ↗ |
V. Aboian vs J. E. Schiessl Challenger Men - Singles: Asuncion | 1.77 → 1.69 | -4.8% | ↗ |
J. Forejtek vs A. Nedic Challenger Men - Singles: Zadar | 2.80 → 2.99 | +6.8% | ↗ |
P. Boscardin Dias vs H. J. Escurra Isnardi Challenger Men - Singles: Asuncion | 12.52 → 11.68 | -6.7% | ↗ |
A. Guillen Meza vs G. Cadenasso Challenger Men - Singles: Asuncion | 1.63 → 1.71 | +4.9% | ↗ |
P. A. Saraiva Dos Santos vs J. Reis Da Silva Challenger Men - Singles: Asuncion | 1.10 → 1.09 | -0.2% | ↗ |
N. Kicker vs T. Cigarran Challenger Men - Singles: Asuncion | 1.10 → 1.11 | +1.5% | ↗ |
O. Crawford vs A. Ayeni Challenger Men - Singles: Morelos | 1.27 → 1.29 | +1.3% | ↗ |
R. Pacheco Mendez vs A. Galarneau Challenger Men - Singles: Morelos | 1.77 → 1.80 | +1.8% | ↗ |
G. A. Olivieri vs J. Faria Challenger Men - Singles: Asuncion | 2.84 → 2.79 | -1.8% | ↗ |
M. Krumich vs M. Dodig Challenger Men - Singles: Zadar | 1.69 → 1.66 | -1.7% | ↗ |
S. Rodriguez Taverna vs L. E. Ambrogi Challenger Men - Singles: Asuncion | 1.66 → 1.68 | +1.1% | ↗ |
L. Midon vs G. Villanueva Challenger Men - Singles: Asuncion | 1.43 → 1.44 | +0.4% | ↗ |
E. Dalla Valle vs D. Ajdukovic Challenger Men - Singles: Zadar | 1.63 → 1.63 | 0.0% | ↗ |
K. Siniakova vs C. Osorio WTA - Singles: Miami | 1.85 → 1.85 | 0.0% | ↗ |
G. Bueno vs J. P. Didoni Bonini Challenger Men - Singles: Asuncion | 1.05 → 1.05 | 0.0% | ↗ |
Tennis Odds Movement Report — Wednesday, March 18, 2026
Line movement data for March 18, 2026: 16 Pinnacle tennis markets tracked, 2 with significant movement (>5%), average shift 2.8%. The CH-M Asuncion contributed the most matches of the day, accounting for 9 of the total. Odds lengthened on 8 matches and shortened on 5 matches, with the remaining 3 showing no movement — reflecting a roughly balanced overall market sentiment between steam and drift. Full breakdown below.
Markets Moving Against Favourites — March 18, 2026
The largest line movement of March 18, 2026 was recorded in CH-M Zadar: J. Forejtek vs A. Nedic saw the line shift +6.8% from 2.80 at open to 2.99 at final close (the market moved against the favourite). Movement of this magnitude — representing a +6.8% rise in the decimal price, meaning Pinnacle revised the favourite's implied probability downward — indicates sustained interest from the underdog's side of the market throughout the day.
Second on the list was P. Boscardin Dias vs H. J. Escurra Isnardi in CH-M Asuncion, where the line moved -6.7% (12.52 → 11.68, sharp money entered on the favourite). The third-largest shift came from CH-M Asuncion: A. Guillen Meza vs G. Cadenasso at +4.9% (1.63 → 1.71, Pinnacle revised the implied probability downward for the favourite).
Rounding out the top five: V. Aboian vs J. E. Schiessl in CH-M Asuncion at -4.8% (1.77 → 1.69, sharp money entered on the favourite), and A. Hayen vs A. Martin in CH-M Morelos at +4.1% (1.10 → 1.15, the market moved against the favourite). 2 of these five crossed the 5% threshold. Combined, these five matches account for the most significant pricing adjustments Pinnacle made on March 18, 2026.
How the Lines Moved on March 18, 2026
To summarise March 18, 2026: Pinnacle moved 2 of its 16 tennis markets by 5% or more. Lines shortened on 5 matches — consistent with money flowing toward those favourites — and lengthened on 8, while 3 markets showed no movement. The net picture was one of moderate two-way activity, with neither steam nor drift dominating. For bettors using line movement as a pre-match signal, March 18, 2026 offered 2 markets with actionable movement, led by A. Nedic in CH-M Zadar at +6.8%.
Frequently Asked Questions — Tennis Odds Line Movement
What does line movement mean in tennis betting?
Line movement refers to a change in the odds offered by a bookmaker between the time a market opens and when it closes just before the match. On this page, OPEN shows the initial Pinnacle price and CUR (current price, shown as CLOSE on archive pages) shows the final price. The Δ% column shows the percentage change in the decimal odds. When odds shorten (Δ% is negative for the favourite), it usually means money has come in on that player. When odds drift (Δ% is positive for the favourite), the price has risen and the market is moving against them — meaning Pinnacle has lowered its implied probability for that player.
Why does Pinnacle move its lines?
Pinnacle adjusts its odds for two main reasons: to balance its liability (equalise the money on both sides), and to reflect new information — injuries, sharp bets, or updated statistical models. Because Pinnacle accepts sharp (professional) bettors without banning them, their line movements are considered more meaningful than those of recreational bookmakers. A significant Pinnacle line move is widely regarded as one of the most reliable pre-match signals available to the public.
How is the percentage change calculated on this page?
The Δ% figure is calculated as ((CUR − OPEN) / OPEN) × 100, where CUR is the current (or closing) decimal price and OPEN is the opening price. A positive Δ% means the decimal price went up from the opening — because a higher decimal price corresponds to shorter implied probability, this means Pinnacle's model moved against that player. A negative Δ% means the price fell — implied probability increased and the market favoured that player more strongly at close than at open. This is calculated on the raw decimal odds, not converted to any other format. All data is sourced directly from Pinnacle's live and historical odds feed.