Odds Archive
Pinnacle line movement — Thursday, March 19, 2026
20 matches · ATP 9 · WTA 5 · CH 6
| MATCH | OPEN → CUR | Δ% | |
|---|---|---|---|
D. Galfi vs E. Kalieva WTA - Singles: Miami | 1.74 → 1.79 | +3.4% | ↗ |
M. Linette vs I. Swiatek WTA - Singles: Miami | 16.02 → 18.12 | +13.1% | ↗ |
S. Bejlek vs T. Gibson WTA - Singles: Miami | 1.94 → 1.74 | -10.0% | ↗ |
F. Marozsan vs J. Fonseca ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.42 → 1.41 | -1.0% | ↗ |
G. Bueno vs L. Midon Challenger Men - Singles: Asuncion | 2.16 → 2.36 | +9.3% | ↗ |
S. Travaglia vs H. Squire Challenger Men - Singles: Zadar | 1.79 → 1.65 | -7.8% | ↗ |
I. Buse vs D. Dzumhur ATP - Singles: Miami | 2.58 → 2.78 | +7.8% | ↗ |
P. Badosa vs A. Sasnovich WTA - Singles: Miami | 1.50 → 1.57 | +4.5% | ↗ |
R. Jodar vs Y. Hanfmann ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.63 → 1.71 | +5.2% | ↗ |
N. Basilashvili vs M. Navone ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.93 → 1.99 | +3.3% | ↗ |
A. Pellegrino vs J. Engel Challenger Men - Singles: Murcia | 2.55 → 2.70 | +5.9% | ↗ |
M. Cilic vs A. Popyrin ATP - Singles: Miami | 2.40 → 2.27 | -5.4% | ↗ |
Dar. Blanch vs J-L. Struff ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.61 → 1.56 | -3.1% | ↗ |
G. Cadenasso vs L. E. Ambrogi Challenger Men - Singles: Asuncion | 1.50 → 1.57 | +4.7% | ↗ |
V. Aboian vs J. Reis Da Silva Challenger Men - Singles: Asuncion | 1.48 → 1.51 | +2.2% | ↗ |
Q. Halys vs L. Draxl ATP - Singles: Miami | 2.74 → 2.84 | +3.6% | ↗ |
M. Giron vs M. Landaluce ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.61 → 1.58 | -2.0% | ↗ |
C. McNally vs R. Masarova WTA - Singles: Miami | 1.83 → 1.88 | +2.4% | ↗ |
T. Cigarran vs J. Faria Challenger Men - Singles: Asuncion | 1.06 → 1.06 | -0.3% | ↗ |
E. Quinn vs H. Hurkacz ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.79 → 1.74 | -3.0% | ↗ |
Tennis Odds Movement Report — Thursday, March 19, 2026
March 19, 2026 saw Pinnacle price 56 tennis matches across 6 tournaments on clay and hard, with 8 markets registering a line movement of 5% or more between open and close. Total combined movement across all 56 markets averaged 3.1% per match. The full open-to-close odds comparison for every match is available in the table above. Below is a detailed breakdown of the day's most significant Pinnacle line shifts.
Largest Open-to-Close Changes — March 19, 2026 Tennis
M. Linette opened at 16.02 → 18.12 in WTA Miami, a +13.1% drift — the single largest Pinnacle line move on March 19, 2026. This was followed by T. Gibson in WTA Miami at -10.0% (1.94 → 1.74, sharp money came in on Gibson, who opened as the favourite), then L. Midon in CH-M Asuncion at +9.3% (2.16 → 2.36, the market moved against Midon as favourite).
The fourth and fifth largest moves came from S. Travaglia vs H. Squire in CH-M Zadar (-7.8%, 1.79 → 1.65, sharp money came in on Travaglia, who opened as the favourite) and I. Buse vs D. Dzumhur in ATP Miami (+7.8%, 2.58 → 2.78, the market moved against Buse as favourite). All five matches showed consistent directional movement from open to close rather than volatile back-and-forth shifts — a pattern more consistent with informed money than public flow.
Pinnacle Line Movement Totals — March 19, 2026
March 19, 2026 produced 56 completed Pinnacle tennis markets with an average line movement of 3.1%. Direction split: 29% of markets saw odds shorten, 43% saw odds drift, and the remaining 28% showed negligible movement of less than 0.5%. The Challenger circuit — which made up 21% of the day's matches — showed higher movement activity compared to ATP and WTA events. This is consistent with the pattern that lower-tier events often see sharper late-market adjustment as less pre-match data is available at open.
Frequently Asked Questions — Tennis Odds Line Movement
What does line movement mean in tennis betting?
Line movement refers to a change in the odds offered by a bookmaker between the time a market opens and when it closes just before the match. On this page, OPEN shows the initial Pinnacle price and CUR (current price, shown as CLOSE on archive pages) shows the final price. The Δ% column shows the percentage change. When odds shorten (Δ% is negative for the favourite), it usually means money has come in on that player. When odds drift (Δ% is positive for the favourite), the market is moving against them.
Why does Pinnacle move its lines?
Pinnacle adjusts its odds primarily to reflect new information — injuries, sharp bets, or updated statistical models. Unlike many bookmakers, Pinnacle does not need to balance its book by equalising stakes on both sides; instead, it accepts sharp (professional) bettors without banning them and adjusts its prices in response to their action. Because of this, Pinnacle line movements are considered more meaningful than those of recreational bookmakers. A significant Pinnacle line move is widely regarded as one of the most reliable pre-match signals available to the public.
How is the percentage change calculated on this page?
The Δ% figure is calculated as ((CUR − OPEN) / OPEN) × 100. A positive Δ% means the price went up from the opening — the player's implied probability decreased in Pinnacle's view. A negative Δ% means the price fell — implied probability increased. This is calculated on the raw decimal odds, not converted to any other format. All data is sourced directly from Pinnacle's live and historical odds feed.