Odds Archive
Pinnacle line movement — Tuesday, March 17, 2026
20 matches · ATP 6 · WTA 4 · CH 10
| MATCH | OPEN → CUR | Δ% | |
|---|---|---|---|
A. Ayeni vs K. Smith Challenger Men - Singles: Morelos | 1.24 → 1.39 | +11.7% | ↗ |
D. Vidmanova vs E. Jacquemot WTA - Singles: Miami | 2.53 → 3.01 | +19.0% | ↗ |
A. Hernandez vs T. Colson Challenger Men - Singles: Morelos | 1.36 → 1.29 | -5.1% | ↗ |
N. Fatic vs T. Pereira Challenger Men - Singles: Zadar | 1.51 → 1.40 | -7.1% | ↗ |
J. De Jong vs B. Hassan Challenger Men - Singles: Murcia | 3.89 → 4.41 | +13.4% | ↗ |
C. Langmo vs A. Molcan Challenger Men - Singles: Zadar | 1.18 → 1.16 | -1.9% | ↗ |
R. Zarazua vs A. Sasnovich WTA - Singles: Miami | 1.52 → 1.43 | -6.2% | ↗ |
M. Alcala Gurri vs M. Cerny Challenger Men - Singles: Zadar | 1.40 → 1.34 | -4.1% | ↗ |
A. Blockx vs C. O'Connell ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.49 → 1.62 | +8.8% | ↗ |
L. Siegemund vs P. Marcinko WTA - Singles: Miami | 1.83 → 2.04 | +11.7% | ↗ |
M. Bellucci vs M. Cassone ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.32 → 1.28 | -3.3% | ↗ |
P. Llamas Ruiz vs D. Jorda Sanchis Challenger Men - Singles: Murcia | 1.21 → 1.19 | -1.8% | ↗ |
I. Buse vs C. Wong ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.70 → 1.58 | -7.0% | ↗ |
L. Lokoli vs M. Dodig Challenger Men - Singles: Zadar | 1.45 → 1.41 | -3.1% | ↗ |
T. A. Tirante vs M. Landaluce ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.69 → 1.83 | +7.8% | ↗ |
L. Draxl vs J. Clarke ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.47 → 1.43 | -3.1% | ↗ |
H. Squire vs S. Palosi Challenger Men - Singles: Zadar | 1.31 → 1.27 | -2.4% | ↗ |
K. Boulter vs J. Bouzas Maneiro WTA - Singles: Miami | 1.60 → 1.69 | +5.7% | ↗ |
S. Pieri vs D. Michalski Challenger Men - Singles: Zadar | 1.42 → 1.46 | +3.4% | ↗ |
Y. Hanfmann vs L. van Assche ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.80 → 1.72 | -4.5% | ↗ |
Tennis Odds Movement Report — Tuesday, March 17, 2026
Tuesday's Pinnacle market on March 17, 2026 processed 75 tennis matches. Odds moved by an average of 3.3% from open to final close, with the sharpest single movement reaching 19.0% on E. Jacquemot. 6 tournaments contributed to the day's activity, led by WTA Miami. Of the 75 markets, 30 odds shortened, 35 drifted, and 10 were unchanged; 12 of those were significant movers (greater than 5%), of which the five largest are highlighted below.
Biggest Odds Shifts in Tennis — March 17, 2026
Market analysis for March 17, 2026 identifies five matches where Pinnacle adjusted odds most aggressively. D. Vidmanova vs E. Jacquemot in WTA Miami led all movers at +19.0%, with the line shifting from 2.53 at open to 3.01 at close (the market moved against the favourite). Next was B. Hassan in CH-M Murcia at +13.4% (3.89 → 4.41, the underdog attracted late money), followed by L. Siegemund in WTA Miami at +11.7% (1.83 → 2.04, Pinnacle revised probability downward for the favourite).
Fourth and fifth: K. Smith in CH-M Morelos at +11.7% (1.24 → 1.39, the heavy favourite drifted — Pinnacle revised their probability downward) and A. Blockx in ATP Miami at +8.8% (1.49 → 1.62, Pinnacle revised probability downward for the favourite). A combined total of 64.5 percentage points of movement — 3.9x what you'd expect from five average markets — illustrates how much Pinnacle's model revised its probability estimates for these particular matches on March 17, 2026.
Market Direction on March 17, 2026 — Pinnacle Tennis
March 17, 2026 line movement breakdown: 75 total markets, 30 odds shortened, 35 drifted, 10 unchanged. Of those, 12 were significant movers (greater than 5%), with the five largest detailed above. The largest single move was 19.0% on E. Jacquemot. The smallest non-zero move was 0.1% on M. Houkes in CH-M Murcia. Challenger events accounted for 44% of the day's markets and 33% of significant moves — consistent with higher variance in lower-tier markets.
Frequently Asked Questions — Tennis Odds Line Movement
What does line movement mean in tennis betting?
Line movement refers to a change in the odds offered by a bookmaker between the time a market opens and when it closes just before the match. On this page, OPEN shows the initial Pinnacle price and CUR (current odds, shown as CLOSE on archive pages) shows the final price. The Δ% column shows the percentage change. When odds shorten (Δ% is negative for the favourite), it usually means money has come in on that player. When odds drift (Δ% is positive for the favourite), the market is moving against them.
Why does Pinnacle move its lines?
Pinnacle adjusts its odds for two main reasons: to balance its liability (equalise the money on both sides), and to reflect new information — injuries, sharp bets, or updated statistical models. Because Pinnacle accepts sharp (professional) bettors without banning them, their line movements are considered more meaningful than those of recreational bookmakers. A significant Pinnacle line move is widely regarded as one of the most reliable pre-match signals available to the public.
How is the percentage change calculated on this page?
The Δ% figure is calculated as ((CUR − OPEN) / OPEN) × 100. A positive Δ% means the price went up from the opening — the player's implied probability decreased in Pinnacle's view. A negative Δ% means the price fell — implied probability increased. This is calculated on the raw decimal odds, not converted to any other format. All data is sourced directly from Pinnacle's live and historical odds feed.