Odds Archive
Pinnacle line movement — Friday, March 20, 2026
20 matches · ATP 7 · WTA 9 · CH 4
| MATCH | OPEN → CUR | Δ% | |
|---|---|---|---|
E. Kalieva vs E. Mertens WTA - Singles: Miami | 4.60 → 5.67 | +23.3% | ↗ |
J. Draper vs R. Opelka ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.20 → 1.29 | +8.1% | ↗ |
S. Travaglia vs A. Molcan Challenger Men - Singles: Zadar | 1.90 → 2.21 | +16.3% | ↗ |
H. Baptiste vs L. Samsonova WTA - Singles: Miami | 1.84 → 2.02 | +9.8% | ↗ |
B. Van De Zandschulp vs T. Fritz ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.27 → 1.31 | +2.8% | ↗ |
E. Alexandrova vs L. Tagger WTA - Singles: Miami | 1.44 → 1.40 | -2.7% | ↗ |
A. Bublik vs M. Berrettini ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.70 → 1.63 | -4.4% | ↗ |
L. Midon vs J. Faria Challenger Men - Singles: Asuncion | 1.51 → 1.46 | -3.7% | ↗ |
C. Ruud vs E. Quinn ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.51 → 1.54 | +2.0% | ↗ |
A. Ayeni vs A. Martin Challenger Men - Singles: Morelos | 1.57 → 1.66 | +6.0% | ↗ |
K. Boulter vs C. Tauson WTA - Singles: Miami | 1.56 → 1.56 | +0.2% | ↗ |
A. Anisimova vs A. Tomljanovic WTA - Singles: Miami | 5.73 → 6.04 | +5.4% | ↗ |
T. Townsend vs J. Paolini WTA - Singles: Miami | 1.70 → 1.79 | +5.2% | ↗ |
E. Cocciaretto vs C. Gauff WTA - Singles: Miami | 1.18 → 1.21 | +3.2% | ↗ |
A. Michelsen vs M. Bellucci ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.43 → 1.43 | 0.0% | ↗ |
K. Muchova vs C. Osorio WTA - Singles: Miami | 1.33 → 1.31 | -1.4% | ↗ |
A. Barrena vs J. P. Varillas Challenger Men - Singles: Asuncion | 1.86 → 1.87 | +0.4% | ↗ |
V. Royer vs T. A. Tirante ATP - Singles: Miami | 2.08 → 2.00 | -3.9% | ↗ |
T. Paul vs A. Mannarino ATP - Singles: Miami | 4.61 → 4.78 | +3.7% | ↗ |
L. Noskova vs S. Cirstea WTA - Singles: Miami | 1.72 → 1.78 | +3.6% | ↗ |
Tennis Odds Movement Report — Friday, March 20, 2026
Pinnacle's tennis markets on March 20, 2026 covered 39 matches in 6 active tournaments on clay and hard courts. Line movement was low relative to recent Fridays, with 7 matches moving 5% or more. The largest single shift was 23.3% on E. Kalieva in WTA Miami. A full ranked breakdown of all line movements follows below.
March 20, 2026 Odds Drift Leaders — Pinnacle Tennis
Five matches defined the Pinnacle line movement narrative on March 20, 2026. First: E. Kalieva vs E. Mertens in WTA Miami, where odds shifted from 4.60 → 5.67 — a +23.3% move (the market moved against the favourite). Second: S. Travaglia vs A. Molcan in CH-M Zadar, +16.2% (1.90 → 2.21, the underdog attracted late money). Third: H. Baptiste vs L. Samsonova in WTA Miami, +9.8% (1.84 → 2.02, Pinnacle revised probability downward for the favourite).
Positions four and five belong to J. Draper in ATP Miami (+8.1%, 1.20 → 1.29, odds drifted — money flow favoured the underdog) and A. Martin in CH-M Morelos (+6.0%, 1.57 → 1.66, sharp money pushed the line away from the favourite). Across all five, the average absolute movement was 12.7% — significantly above the day's overall average of 3.6%.
March 20, 2026 Tennis Market Wrap: Open vs Close
Across all 39 markets on March 20, 2026, 14 lines shortened (favourite odds fell) and 23 lines lengthened (favourite odds rose). This drifting bias of 59% is in line with typical levels. The average absolute movement was 3.6% — higher than yesterday's 3.1%, and 2 markets closed at exactly the same price as the open, indicating Pinnacle had high initial confidence in those assessments. Bettors who track line movement as a signal had 7 markets worth monitoring on March 20, 2026.
Frequently Asked Questions — Tennis Odds Line Movement
What does line movement mean in tennis betting?
Line movement refers to a change in the odds offered by a bookmaker between the time a market opens and at or shortly before match start. On this page, OPEN shows the initial Pinnacle price and CUR (current closing price — shown as CLOSE on archive pages) shows the final price. The Δ% column shows the percentage change. When odds shorten (Δ% is negative for the favourite), it usually means money has come in on that player. When odds drift (Δ% is positive for the favourite), the market is moving against them.
Why does Pinnacle move its lines?
Pinnacle adjusts its odds for two main reasons: to manage its liability across outcomes, and to reflect new information — injuries, sharp bets, or updated statistical models. Unlike many bookmakers that primarily seek to balance money on both sides, Pinnacle is known to shade its lines in response to sharp (professional) bettors rather than simply equalising liability. Because Pinnacle accepts sharp bettors without banning them, their line movements are considered more meaningful than those of recreational bookmakers. A significant Pinnacle line move is widely regarded as one of the most reliable pre-match signals available to the public.
How is the percentage change calculated on this page?
The Δ% figure is calculated as ((CUR − OPEN) / OPEN) × 100. A positive Δ% means the price went up from the opening — the player's implied probability decreased in Pinnacle's view. A negative Δ% means the price fell — implied probability increased. This is calculated on the raw decimal odds, not converted to any other format. All data is sourced directly from Pinnacle's live and historical odds feed.