Odds Archive

Pinnacle line movement — Tuesday, March 24, 2026
20 matches · ATP 2 · WTA 0 · CH 18
| MATCH | OPEN → CUR | Δ% | |
|---|---|---|---|
I. Ivashka vs P. Llamas Ruiz Challenger Men - Singles: Montemar | 4.34 → 6.09 | +40.3% | ↗ |
A. Michelsen vs J. Sinner ATP - Singles: Miami | 1.06 → 1.06 | 0.0% | ↗ |
A. Guerrieri vs S. Travaglia Challenger Men - Singles: Naples | 3.43 → 4.41 | +28.6% | ↗ |
F. Cina vs G. Piraino Challenger Men - Singles: Naples | 3.73 → 4.59 | +23.1% | ↗ |
R. Bertola vs B. Hassan Challenger Men - Singles: Montemar | 1.66 → 1.98 | +19.1% | ↗ |
Y. H. Hsu vs J. Boulais Challenger Men - Singles: Yokkaichi | 1.30 → 1.42 | +9.0% | ↗ |
T. Barrios Vera vs J. Ingildsen Challenger Men - Singles: Sao Paulo | 1.10 → — | 0.0% | ↗ |
S. Pieri vs J. De Jong Challenger Men - Singles: Montemar | 8.01 → 9.46 | +18.1% | ↗ |
A. Kalinina vs L. Bronzetti Challenger Women - Singles: Dubrovnik | 6.63 → 5.47 | -17.5% | ↗ |
F. Forti vs V. Kopriva Challenger Men - Singles: Naples | 1.19 → 1.16 | -2.6% | ↗ |
A. Sanchez Quilez vs I. Montes-De La Torre Challenger Men - Singles: Montemar | 1.45 → 1.36 | -5.7% | ↗ |
F. Meligeni Alves vs V. Braga Challenger Men - Singles: Sao Paulo | 1.01 → 1.01 | -0.3% | ↗ |
A. Konjuh vs T. Korpatsch Challenger Women - Singles: Dubrovnik | 5.07 → 5.72 | +12.8% | ↗ |
E. Nava vs R. Tosetto Challenger Men - Singles: Sao Paulo | 1.02 → 1.01 | -0.1% | ↗ |
S. Kozlov vs A. Martin Challenger Men - Singles: Morelia | 1.65 → 1.55 | -6.5% | ↗ |
A. Galarneau vs M. Tobon Challenger Men - Singles: Morelia | 1.34 → 1.42 | +6.1% | ↗ |
E. Pridankina vs P. Hercog Challenger Women - Singles: Dubrovnik | 1.68 → 1.59 | -5.5% | ↗ |
T. M. Etcheverry vs T. Paul ATP - Singles: Miami | 3.22 → 3.52 | +9.3% | ↗ |
G. Cadenasso vs E. Ribeiro Challenger Men - Singles: Sao Paulo | 1.57 → 1.50 | -4.5% | ↗ |
G. Bueno vs T. A. Tirante Challenger Men - Singles: Sao Paulo | 1.32 → — | 0.0% | ↗ |
Tennis Odds Movement Report — Tuesday, March 24, 2026
Line movement data for March 24, 2026: 81 Pinnacle tennis markets tracked, 19 with significant movement (>5%), average shift 5.2%. The CH-M Montemar contributed the most active markets by movement volume, accounting for 12 of the total. Odds shortened on 27 matches and lengthened on 37 matches — a roughly balanced split between shortening and lengthening in overall market sentiment, with the remaining 17 markets showing negligible movement. Full breakdown below.
Largest Open-to-Close Changes — March 24, 2026 Tennis
I. Ivashka opened at 4.34 in CH-M Montemar and closed +40.3% higher at 6.09 — the single largest Pinnacle line move on March 24, 2026. This was followed by A. Guerrieri in CH-M Naples at +28.6% (3.43 → 4.41, the underdog attracted late money), then G. Piraino in CH-M Naples at +23.1% (3.73 → 4.59, Pinnacle revised probability downward for the favourite).
The fourth and fifth largest moves came from R. Bertola vs B. Hassan in CH-M Montemar (+19.1%, 1.66 → 1.98, odds drifted — money flow favoured the underdog) and S. Pieri vs J. De Jong in CH-M Montemar (+18.1%, 8.01 → 9.46, the market moved against the favourite). All five matches showed consistent directional movement from open to close rather than volatile back-and-forth shifts — a pattern more consistent with informed money than public flow.
Pinnacle Line Movement Totals — March 24, 2026
For a standard mid-week session, March 24, 2026 produced 81 completed Pinnacle tennis markets with an average line movement of 5.2%. Direction split: 33% of markets saw odds shorten, 46% saw odds drift, and the remaining 21% showed negligible or flat movement. The Challenger circuit — which made up 89% of the day's matches — showed higher movement activity compared to ATP and WTA events. This is consistent with the pattern that lower-tier events often see sharper late-market adjustment as less pre-match data is available at open.
Frequently Asked Questions — Tennis Odds Line Movement
What does line movement mean in tennis betting?
Line movement refers to a change in the odds offered by a bookmaker between the time a market opens and when it closes just before the match. On this page, OPEN shows the initial Pinnacle price and CUR (Current — or CLOSE on archive pages) shows the final price. The Δ% column shows the percentage change. When odds shorten (Δ% is negative), it usually means money has come in on that player. When odds drift (Δ% is positive), the market is moving against that player.
Why does Pinnacle move its lines?
Pinnacle adjusts its odds for two main reasons: to balance its liability (equalise the money on both sides), and to reflect new information — injuries, sharp bets, or updated statistical models. Because Pinnacle accepts sharp (professional) bettors without banning them, their line movements are considered more meaningful than those of recreational bookmakers. A significant Pinnacle line move is widely regarded as one of the most reliable pre-match signals available to the public.
How is the percentage change calculated on this page?
The Δ% figure is calculated as ((CUR − OPEN) / OPEN) × 100. A positive Δ% means the price went up from the opening — the player's implied probability decreased in Pinnacle's view. A negative Δ% means the price fell — implied probability increased. This is calculated on the raw decimal odds, not converted to any other format. All data is sourced directly from Pinnacle's live and historical odds feed.